计及拓扑变换的主动配电网故障风险智能预警
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(51907056)


Intelligent forecast of fault risk in active distribution networks considering network reconfiguration
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    摘要:

    当突发自然灾害后,主动配电网可利用联络支路转供和灵活供电的分布式电源(DG)恢复重要负荷的供电,从而有效降低故障风险。文中提出了一种基于数据驱动的多维度主动配电网故障风险等级智能预警方法。首先,采用基于卡方检验和Pearson相关系数特征选择方法从多个维度进行故障关联强弱性分析,筛选得到最优故障特征集;然后,建立考虑DG并网的配电网故障重构优化模型,计及配电线路重要程度,为配电网故障风险等级划分提供了重要依据;在此基础上,建立基于极限梯度提升(XGBoost)算法的配电网线路故障风险等级预警模型;最后,以IEEE RBTS Bus6配电网系统进行算例分析。文中所提方法的预测准确率比反向传播(BP)神经网络算法高3.17%,泛化能力更强,可为配电网故障风险防控提供重要依据,从而有效降低故障损失。

    Abstract:

    After occurrence of natural disasters,active distribution network (ADN) can promptly restore power supply to some critical loads through tie-line switching and flexible distributed generation (DG),and thus the fault risk is effectively mitigated. A data-driven multi-dimensional intelligent forecast approach for the fault risk levels in ADNs is proposed in this paper. Firstly,a feature selection method based on Chi-square test (χ2) and Pearson correlation coeffects is developed to analyze the strength of fault correlation factors from multiple dimensions and the optimal set of fault features is obtained. Then,an optimal network reconfiguration model is established for the damaged ADNs considering DG integration,and consequently the heterogeneity of the line importance can be taken into account which provides a solid foundation for the classification of fault risks. Furthermore,an intelligent forecast model for ADN fault risk levels is established based on extreme gradient boostig (XGBoost) algorithm. Finally,the numerical tests on IEEE RBTS Bus6 distribution network demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves a predication accuracy 3.17% higher than back propagation (BP) neural network does. The proposed approach has good generalization capability,thus providing an important basis for the fault risk management in ADNs to effectively reduce the fault loss.

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唐海国,张帝,刘成英,任磊,李佳勇.计及拓扑变换的主动配电网故障风险智能预警[J].电力工程技术,2022,41(5):193-201,226

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2021-07-19
  • 最后修改日期:2021-09-06
  • 录用日期:2021-10-11
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-21
  • 出版日期: 2022-09-28